Sports wagering can be extremely profitable if an individual know the tricks typically the “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make cash. One of the biggest secrets that clever money bettors use is knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a best example of this. I analyzed typically the Western Florida vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that will West California had often the edge in the game. Nevertheless , I actually also came to the realization that there were a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not guess on this particular game. Here is my personal analysis I released before the game:

West Las vegas versus Louisville

This online game offers all the symptoms of being one of the very best games of the year, with the two teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, each with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, together with Western Virginia coming again from becoming down big in the fourth fraction to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s Ufabet168 look like this year?

In case this match were being played in a good natural field, West Las vegas might probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since often the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented roll. They will haven’t lost since Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they missing to California Tech. In the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last being unfaithful games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 HIGHWAY games.

These kinds of are some very amazing stats that tilt this scales in favor involving WVU with regard to tonight’s gaming. Plus, typically the extra bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This will likely not seem to be like significantly, but in a near match-up similar to this, that extra point will certainly make the difference between a push and even a loss.

But some of us wonder what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are usually almost as good while WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her past 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS inside their last 10 home video games.

And even if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped at your home since December 20, the year 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points for every game in your own home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. 8 points for each game from home. In case anyone failed to do the figures, that means since their last home reduction they have already averaged beating his or her oppositions by means of about 34 items per game.

Even greater impressive, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the spread, on average, by way of 13 points per online game at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

Many of those stats had been accumulated during the 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They are yet to got recent games by which they have already only scored twenty-eight, twenty three, 24 points. And these online games weren’t against Ohio Saint. or Michigan. They have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

To put it succinctly of which this is still some sort of close match to phone. Nonetheless what I look intended for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s virtually no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to mid 20’s. My honest suggestion is usually to lay off this kind of game and not guarantee at all. There will be better video games this end of the week with more clear-cut rewards.

The final score of this game was Louisville forty-four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to give back a punt for some sort of TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s advantage was not so big that they can could still win after generating so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this kind of match, people really serious regarding wagering saved money many people can offer better make use of on forthcoming games.